Oscar Predictions 2017

oscars2017_keyart_statue

It’s that time of year again where I question whether it’s the [this year’s number] or [last year’s number] Oscars. I mean the presentation is in 2017, but it’s awarding 2016 films. Anyways below you will see my predictions for all the major categories below, along with who I would like to see win. All in all I thought the movies I saw in 2016 weren’t anything special and that’s why most of them are not even nominated, though there are a couple that should have been nominated and others that I cringe to know that they can be said to be “Oscar nominated films.”

So turns out La La Land is nominated for 14 awards, and is favored to win in 10 of those categories. I don’t think it will take home that many awards, but if it does it’s going to make for a really long night. Without further ado here are my predictions. Bold is my prediction, italics are who I would like to win.

Best Picture

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land – It has the best odds of winning and I hear it’s pretty great. Should probably see it, I also want to see Deadpool win best picture as I have not seen any of these films nominated. Also Deadpool was robbed.

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Directing

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival

Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge

Damien Chazelle, La La Land

Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Actor in a Leading Role

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – It’s a tough call between Casey and Denzel and between the two I’d like to see Denzel win, but it’s the Oscars and they don’t care what I think.

Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling, La La Land

Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington, Fences

[Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool] – he was robbed!

Actress in a Leading Role

Isabelle Huppert, Elle

Ruth Negga, Loving

Natalie Portman, Jackie

Emma Stone, La La Land – I love Emma Stone

Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins – I would love to see a speech from her this year.

Actress in a Supporting Role

Viola Davis, Fences – Surprised the nomination wasn’t for Suicide Squad

Naomie Harris, Moonlight

Nicole Kidman, Lion

Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures

Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Actor in a Supporting Role

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water

Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea

Dev Patel, Lion

Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals

Adapted Screenplay

Arrival

Fences

Hidden Figures

Lion

Moonlight

Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water

La La Land

The Lobster

Manchester by the Sea

20th Century Women

Animated Feature Film

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

The Red Turtle – Studio Ghibli movie. Nuff said.

Zootopia

Foreign Language Film

Land of Mine (Denmark)

A Man Called Ove (Sweden)

The Salesman (Iran)

Tanna (Australia)

Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Documentary Feature

Fire at Sea

I Am Not Your Negro

Life, Animated

O.J. Made in America – Tried watching this and I don’t know, just couldn’t really get in to it.

13th

Cinematography

Arrival – I think this will be an upset. La La Land is favored but come on, it doesn’t need to win the technical categories also.

La La Land

Lion

Moonlight

Silence

Film Editing

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

La La Land

Moonlight

Production Design

Arrival

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar!

La La Land

Passengers

Costume Design

Allied

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – Didn’t see this one but the costumes seem nice and it might be a nice palette cleanser for the show.

Florence Foster Jenkins

Jackie – La La Land is somehow favored in this category which seems insane to me. Always bet on period pieces or floofy dresses.

La La Land

Makeup and Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove

Star Trek Beyond

Suicide Squad – Croc was impressive makeup, the character looks were one of 3 redeeming qualities of this film. If it wins an Oscar, I can’t even…

Original Score

Jackie, Mica Levi

La La Land, Justin Hurwitz

Lion, Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka

Moonlight, Nicholas Brittell

Passengers, Thomas Newman

Original Song

“Audition (The Fools who Dream),” La La Land, music by Justin Hurwitz, lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls, music and lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin, and Karl Johan Schuster

“City of Stars,” La La Land, music by Justin Hurwitz, lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story, music and lyric by J. Ralph and Sting

“How Far I’ll Go,” Moana, music and lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda – I always picked this for winner because Hamilton and 2 songs from the same movie may split the vote.

Sound Editing

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Sully

Sound Mixing

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge – Somehow La La Land is favored in this category… What?

La La Land

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon

Doctor Strange

The Jungle Book

Kubo and the Two Strings

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story – But honestly none of these films wowed me from a VFX standpoint

Animated Short Film

Blind Vaysha

Borrowed Time

Pear Cider and Cigarettes

Pearl

Piper

Live Action Short Film

Ennemis Intérieurs

La Femme et le TGV

Silent Nights

Sing

Timecode

Documentary Short Subject

Extremis

4.1 Miles

Joe’s Violin

Watani: My Homeland

The White Helmets

Closing

Check back in March when we go over the Oscars and talk about the big winners and losers on the next episode of the podcast. I will also post a post mortem of my predictions sometime in the next couple weeks. Enjoy the show!

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s